Volume 102
Number 2
Summer 2016
Journal of the
WASHINGTON
ACADEMY OF SCIENCES
Editor’s Comments S. HOWGIG.........:csssnnrrseeseseseeny eR See P an secs ee eet oan coetn oa eat dtene ii
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Book Review: ‘Wisdom from a Chair’ R. Hictal .........-ssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssnssssssssessssse 1
Conservation of White-tailed Jackrabbit Populations K. Gilcredse. .............cccccceessesteeeeeees 5
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ISSN 0043-0439 Issued Quarterly at Washington DC
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Mike Coble
President Elect
Sue Cross
Treasurer
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Secretary
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Vice President, Membership
Sethanne Howard
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Jerry Dwyer
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Gene Williams
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Michael Cohen
Terrell Erickson
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Mina Izadjoo
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Sethanne Howard
Journal of the Washington Academy of
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Journal of the
WASHINGTON ACADEMY OF SCIENCES
Volume 102 Number2 Summer 2016
Contents
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BoGcmeview Wisdom froma Chait’. KR. ALCIGIG ...6.c..c..+éscssccassnsesencessrsesstnsaeeverers ]
Conservation of White-tailed Jackrabbit Populations. K. Gilcredse .....cccccceseeee 5
irate as 4: Premise tor Social:Complexity A. Berea. .i22..sse. 222.0 <0s cea taeenenseeee «ncone ry.
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PMUUTLEAPCEININISINITIUIOUS . .cceeesser-.gaeca cs coosvassss cunaonsuntsevou serves eteryveseantnseaee dea segi cece meny Tea 47
PAIR SOCIEHECS AUG DCIS BALES... w2nsaievinnnda+vsdsevosonnuevsssenavecaeadeacconssarssidbenseeeseesenite 48
ISSN 0043-0439 Issued Quarterly at Washington DC
HARVARD
UNIVERSITY
Summer 2016
Editor’s comments
The summer issue is a special one because we include the awardees from the
annual meetings and awards banquet. We celebrate their accomplishments
and congratulate each of them on their achievements. Please remember to
nominate candidates for our awards. The nomination form and information
are on our website www.washacadsci.org. In addition this year the Academy
gave a special recognition award to Fr. Frank Haig SJ for his many years of
exemplary service to the Academy. He serves with distinction as a member
at large on the Board of Managers.
There is a special book review in this issue. Andrew Batavia wrote a novel
about his life and career. Ron Hietala reviewed the book. I commend it to
you.
We have two interesting papers to offer. Kelsey Gilcrease continues her
study of the jackrabbit population. Anamaria Berea brings her study of trade
as a premise of social complexity.
This 1s an exciting time for science. Share your excitement with the Journal.
I look for papers to arrive on the exciting results from the mission to Jupiter,
and the new results from LIGO. I heard one scientist describe the LIGO
results as paradigm changing in our understanding of the Universe. And that
is just astronomy. There have been a great deal of new research on PTSD,
its effect on the body, and how resilient our brains are. Even though the
current DSM still classifies PTSD as a mental disorder, there is a rising tide
to move it into the brain injury category. Moving to the environment, we see
climate change remap our Earth; we welcome papers describing these
changes.
One of the strengths of our Journal is its interdisciplinary nature. The
Journal is a perfect place for those papers that are perhaps more general than
a targeted journal would publish.
Sethanne Howard
Washington Academy of Sciences
i
Journal of the Washington Academy of Sciences
Editor Sethanne Howard sethanneh@msn.com
Board of Discipline Editors
The Journal of the Washington Academy of Sciences has a 12-member Board
of Discipline Editors representing many scientific and technical fields. The
members of the Board of Discipline Editors are affiliated with a variety of
scientific institutions in the Washington area and beyond — government
agencies such as the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST);
universities such as Georgetown; and professional associations such as the
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE).
Anthropology Emanuela Appetiti eappetiti@hotmail.com
Astronomy Sethanne Howard sethanneh@msn.com
Biology/Biophysics Eugenie Mielczarek mielcezar@physics.gmu.edu
Botany Mark Holland maholland@salisbury.edu
Chemistry Deana Jaber djaber@marymount.edu
Environmental Natural
Sciences Terrell Erickson terrell.erickson] @wde.nsda.gov
Health Robin Stombler rstombler@auburnstrat.com
History of Medicine Alain Touwaide atouwaide@hotmail.com
Operations Research Michael Katehakis mnk@rci.rutgers.edu
Physics Katharine Gebbie katharine.gebbie@nist.gov
Science Education Jim Egenrieder jim@deepwater.org
Systems Science Elizabeth Corona elizabethcorona@gmail.com
Summer 2016
Washington Academy of Sciences
Wisdom from a Chair — Thirty Years of Quadriplegia
By Andrew I. Batavia
Review by Ronald O. Hietala, Ph. D.
Batavia, Drew, as family and friends called him, had an insightful
perspective on things around him. It’s hard to describe, but it was sort of
wry, almost sarcastic without being cynical or offensive. Since he worked
for the U.S. Government in several roles, his observations are useful to
anybody who needs to know how the government works. Batavia’s
experience was especially related to science-based policy.
Curiously, you can read a great many history books about the U. S.
Government and learn very little of practical value about how the
Government works. Such books are usually written by professional
authors, who are mostly high-minded folks. Whether they are too high-
minded to reveal the practical (not to say “dark’”) secrets of how the
government works or they just don’t know, the result is the same. Such
books aren’t much help. This book can help.
Batavia’s perspective was undoubtedly shaped by the accident that
happened when he was 16 years old. Needing to get back to his summer
job from an outing, he hitched a ride. He got into the middle back seat in a
convertible and the driver set out in a rain storm. Seat belts were required
then, but only 1n new cars, and this convertible was not new. There was an
accident; he was flung forward, and his spinal cord was severed in about
the middle of his neck. For the rest of his life, he was paralyzed from the
shoulders down. He retained the ability to breathe on his own.
His powers to affect people and things were different after the
accident. He could not build a house, change a flat tire, play baseball, beat
up his enemies, or many of the things people usually take for granted. He
needed help to go to bed at night and to get up in the morning. His
participation in things was largely limited to observation, analysis,
speaking, and writing. Those powers were, I think, sharpened.
He finished high school. He finished college at the University of
California, Riverside. He completed law school at, | guess, Harvard (the
record is a little unclear) and a Master of Science Program in health
Summer 2016
services research at Stanford Medical School.
He passed up an opportunity to work at a Wall Street law firm and
took instead an offer from the Justice Department. His personal needs
could not be ignored or compromised, and he felt the demands of a Wall
Street law practice could not be met. He also felt he could not “... give all
of myself...,” to the mission of a private law firm, to represent the interests
of the clients. He respected that mission, but he did not feel it was his.
It may seem improbable, but Batavia enjoyed life. He liked the
prestige and the activities of his work. He was actually interested by the
grind of researching legal issues. He knew it was work most people don’t
understand at all, and he was satisfied that he understood it. He apparently
had a kind of compulsiveness that fit well with writing (in government
language, “promulgating”) regulations, where inattention to a single detail
can have enormous consequences.
He said there was, “... no better life than that of a graduate student
....” He had a good time in graduate school. Living conditions were good;
the company was good; the intellectual stimulation was great.
Graduate school was where he developed a respect for the
significance of high quality research. He felt he had a particular advantage
in his combination of legal skills and research skills. He also was a good
writer, and he wrote a great deal of material to promote the development
of ways and means to help the disabled. It was undoubtedly a very good
thing that he did have knowledge of research techniques, because in the
development of laws, regulations, and social programs, a respect for truth
is critical to quality. It is also less common than one might think.
Batavia seemed most proud of two things in his professional life —
that he wrote the regulations required for the Americans with Disabilities
Act and that he wrote many articles about how to improve life for the
disabled. His point of view was well-balanced. He believed the main
purpose of helping the disabled was to help them make their contributions
to the common good.
He valued his associations with certain people. He had a great
appreciation for Attorney General Richard Thornburg, who recruited him
into the Justice Department. Thornburg also recommended him for the
White House Fellows Program, for which he was selected, and which he
Washington Academy of Sciences
valued immensely. Batavia wrote equally admiringly of some of the
academic notables he worked with at Harvard, Stanford, and the
University of California at Riverside. He also wrote admiringly of Ronald
Reagan and Bill Clinton, but with qualifications. Those two he met only
briefly.
He addressed many issues affecting the disabled in his work. On
one of the issues he took up, he took a bold and very controversial position
— he advocated assistance with suicide for disabled persons who chose it.
His position in favor of assisted suicide did not seem to be an
expression of desperation or despair. His writing shows no evidence of
those. Rather, it seems to have resulted from a plain recognition that there
is no limit, for the living, to the pain, difficulty, frustration, and other
problems that nature and circumstances may impose on a person. He gives
several examples of handicapped persons who ended their own lives after
more than one attempt. These examples make it clear that it goes better
with help.
For many people, that kind of consideration is not imposed,
particularly early in life. Batavia faced the possibility of death early; for
months his grip on life was very tenuous. Then he faced another problem,
making his life worthwhile. That, too, was an effort, a very great effort
that ended only when his life ended.
Why did he pose this question only for the disabled? If I had to
guess, it would be for three reasons. First, he believed he had the
credentials to speak for the disabled. Second, he recognized that his
perspective was that of a disabled person, so that was where his ground in
that question was most solid. Third, he probably realized that eventually, it
would not matter. Any decision on such a question will eventually be
applied to the disabled and the able equally.
He was like that — a careful, thorough thinker. We can all learn
from that kind of person.
What I value most in Batavia’s record of his life is this: Despite his
problems, he forged a meaningful, satisfying life. He did that by deliberate
resolve. He learned to live. He got himself educated, employed, and
married. He and his wife adopted two children, from Russia, no less. His
family relationships were solid. He chose carefully what he wanted to
Summer 2016
accomplish; he worked hard to accomplish what he did, and he was
obviously proud to have done so.
It is a fun read. Andrew I. Batavia wrote it as a memoir shortly
before his death.
Washington Academy of Sciences
Conservation of White-tailed Jackrabbit Populations:
What Impact Does Farm Size Have?
Kelsey Gilcrease
South Dakota School of Mines and Technology
Abstract
It has been put forth that a state with larger landholding size will be less likely
to have incentives to protect a species (Lueck 1991, 1995). White-tailed
jackrabbit populations in the United States have been declining, and in response
a few states have ceased jackrabbit hunting. Five other states that contain white-
tailed jackrabbit populations have no closed hunting seasons. This study
investigates the relationship between farm size and jackrabbit population size
in states that do (X=1603 acres, X=44) and do not allow hunting (X=344 acres,
X=0.76). A linear regression analysis was used to determine the probability that
a state would alter the jackrabbit’s conservation status to a species of
conservation concern. This study found a significant difference between farm
size in states that do and do not allow jackrabbit hunting. Consistent with
Lueck’s (1995) findings, states with larger landholding size appear to have less
invested in protection of wildlife. Negative relationships were found between
protecting the jackrabbit and farm size, jackalope income, and fur prices,
whereas there was a positive relationship between protecting the jackrabbit,
farm value, and pasture value. Implications for conservation of the jackrabbit,
including ways to decrease contracting costs for the management of white-tailed
jackrabbit populations are discussed.
Introduction
BECAUSE POPULATIONS OF WILDLIFE often occupy or migrate through an
amalgam of public and privately owned land uses (e.g. farming, pasture),
the size of the land is often overlooked when considering the needs/values
of public and private parties alongside the needs of the native wildlife to
the area, especially for the white-tailed jackrabbit (Lepus townsendii). For
example, Dumke (1973) found the jackrabbit to be more abundant on large
expanses of cropland and pasture; Bailey (1926) found that jackrabbits
were located on plowed fields during the winter; and Kline (1963) found
that jackrabbits prefer wide expanses of pasture and cropland; however,
the size of land which white-tailed jackrabbits inhabit had not been
considered. In fact, property size can impact wildlife conservation efforts
in the following ways. One, the size of the land can impinge on how easily
people can manage habitat across boundaries (Lueck 1991). Next, the size
Summer 2016
of the land can dictate how much land is used for wildlife habitat. Lueck
(1995) suggested that states with larger landholdings have fewer
regulations, place more control with the landholder (as the cost of contracts
would be lower), have longer hunting seasons, and more lenient rules on
bag limits because landowner control is a substitute for state regulations.
Provided with this more hands off approach, one would predict that state
governments with larger landholdings would be less likely to intervene to
protect a species. Therefore, landholding size (i.e. farm size), farm value,
and potential income from wildlife are important variables in conservation
because each of these provides various emphases towards conservation in
that the use of the land (7.e. what crops are grown), the habitat surrounding
the land, spatial distribution of the species, contribute how likely people
would want to conserve a species. Landowners can heavily influence
outcomes for conservation and primary uses of land.
The white-tailed jackrabbit 1s one of the larger hare species on the
North American continent with populations ranging from one to several
hundred individuals (Lim 1987). The range of the species extends from the
central and north-western United States to southern portions of Canada
such as Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba (Lim 1987). White-tailed
jackrabbits can inhabit a variety of habitats, but are particularly suited to
colder climates, including alpine zones (Braun and Streeter 1968, Carter
1939, Grayson 1977). They prefer short-grass prairie, pasture,
meadowland, and a mix of cultivated grain habitat (Lim 1987, Beaudoin
and Beaudoin 2012). Historically, this species was abundant and used for
fur and meat. However, white-tailed jackrabbit populations in the United
States have been declining in recent years, and in response, several states
(lowa, Missouri, Wisconsin, Oregon, and Washington) have ceased
allowing jackrabbit hunting. Five other states contain white-tailed
jackrabbit populations (Wyoming, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota,
and Utah) but have no closed hunting season. The white-tailed jackrabbit
is currently classified as “least concern” in the United States (Smith and
Johnson 2008), but there has been a shift in their conservation status to
“species of concern” in Washington and “sensitive species” in Oregon.
The cause of the general decadal downward population trend is unclear
(Brown 1940, Brown 1947, Lim 1987). Nonetheless, it is important to
conserve the Jackrabbit, as it is a species of great importance to the prairie
ecosystem (Fry 1924, Dieter and Schaible 2012). The population decline
Washington Academy of Sciences
may also be a sign of other environmental problems or problems with other
species.
The aims of this study are to determine if average farm size differs
significantly between states that protect the jackrabbit and states that do
not and if jackrabbit population size differs between states that protect the
jackrabbit versus states that do not. Another aim of this study is to
investigate the relationship between protecting/not protecting and other
variables such as farm size, farm value, pasture value, jackalope price, and
fur prices. To “protect” a species can mean many methods of management,
including fire and grazing regimes, but it can also mean the regulation of
hunting, which has been regulated for the white-tailed jackrabbit in states
such as Iowa, Washington, and Oregon. Note that a state protecting the
jackrabbit means there is no hunting throughout the year, and states that
do not protect jackrabbits allow hunting at all times of the year. It 1s
predicted that increasing the prices of jackalope and fur will increase the
chance that a state will protect the jackrabbit (i.e. encouraging healthier
jackrabbit populations for conservation and harvest). Costs of contracting
include costs of “negotiating, measuring, and monitoring agreements
among owners of assets combined in the production process (Anderson
1998: 260).” Because there are a wide variety of uses for land that wildlife
inhabit, contracting between landowners with regard to monitoring and
managing wildlife and wildlife habitat is important to aid in the success of
conservation of wildlife in an area. Thus, keeping contracting costs low
facilitates more wildlife management among landowners. I conclude with
implications to reduce contracting costs to conserve the white-tailed
jackrabbit with respect to farm size.
Materials and Methods
First, I sought to determine if there was a significant difference
between farm size in states that protect the jackrabbit (lowa, Missouri,
Washington, Wisconsin, and Oregon) and states that allow hunting of the
jackrabbit (Wyoming, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Utah).
Second, I assessed whether there was a significant difference between the
jackrabbit counts data from protected and unprotected states. The null
hypothesis is that there is no statistical difference between average farm
size and jackrabbit population size in protected versus unprotected states.
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Statistics
The data were evaluated for normality and then equal variances using the
F test. If these assumptions held, the t-test was used. Where assumptions
were not held, the Mann-Whitney U test was used. Alpha values were set
at (0.05).
Data
Data on the farm size by state were collected from the USDA (2015).
Data on white-tailed jackrabbit population counts were obtained
from Kline (1963), Watkins and Nowak (1973), Leopold (1945),
Wisniewski ef al. (2010), Schleder and Welch (2009), Rogowitz and
Wolfe (1991), Montana Field Guide (2015), Voth and James (1965), and
Kietzmann and Hugghins (1986). These data were obtained from various
years because of a scarcity of population estimates on the white-tailed
jackrabbit; however, the data were collected in comparable ways with
point counts.
Pasture values and farm values were derived from USDA (2014).
Jackalope and fur prices were obtained from Trapper Association
websites.
Mann Whitney U test
This non-parametric test calculates the difference between medians
(Fowler ef al. 2004). This test can be used when data are few in number
and when sample sizes are unequal (Fowler ef a/. 2004).
Linear regression
Linear regression was used because it was assumed that there
would be a linear relationship between the dependent and independent
variables that could be functional or causal (Fowler ef al. 2004). A logistic
regression function was followed similar to Lueck (1991) where farm size,
farm value, pasture value, jackalope price, and fur prices were analyzed
with the state conservation status of the white-tailed jackrabbit (denoted
by a | 1f there is no hunting season or 0 if there is a hunting season). Note
that the jackalope is referred to as the stuffed and mounted jackrabbit with
fabricated antlers and the jackalope price is the price that people pay to
purchase the jackalope. An inverse relationship was predicted that
increases in farm size, farm values, and pasture values would decrease the
Washington Academy of Sciences
9
chances that a state would protect the white-tailed jackrabbit, because there
would be less incentive to protect jackrabbits as they would most likely
not be as profitable as would another use for land. Microsoft Excel was
used for data analysis.
Results
Average state farm size
The data were normally distributed. The average farm size for
Iowa, Missouri, Washington, Wisconsin, and Oregon was X=344.4 acres,
SD=90.58, SE=45.29, and the average farm size for Wyoming, Montana,
North Dakota, South Dakota, and Utah was X=1603.2 acres, SD=696.5,
SE=348.2 (Table 1). The calculated value was below the critical F value
where the variances were similar; therefore, I completed a t-test. There was
a significant difference in the amount of average farmland size between
the states that protect the jackrabbit and the states that do not. The states
that protect the jackrabbit have a smaller farm size.
An F test was used to compare the variances amongst farm size,
and the variances were not significantly different. A t test was undertaken
with the result that the t stat was larger than t critical. Therefore, the null
hypothesis was rejected. The P value was 0.011, df=4.
Jackrabbit count results
There was a significant relationship between the jackrabbit
population and states that do (X=44, SD=44.2, SE=22) and do not allow
jackrabbit hunting (X=0.76, SD=0.96, SE=0.43) (Table 1).
The data were found to be normally distributed. However, an F test was
calculated to assess the differences in variance. The variance was too high,
and thus, a parametric test was invalid. Therefore, a Mann-Whitney U test
for unmatched samples was completed where U=0 and P<0.05 (ni=5,
n2=4), so the null hypothesis that the medians for jackrabbit counts were
similar between protected and unprotected states was rejected.
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10
Table 1. Population size (from point count surveys), farm size, pasture
value, jackalope price, fur price, and conservation status between states
that do and do not allow hunting on the white-tailed jackrabbit.
Ayg. Pasture | Jackalope Conservation Conservation
farm value price ($) status Status
size ($) Reference
(acres)
(lowa GAP
Analysis
2007)
(Missouri
Department of
Conservation
2015)
(Washington
Department of
Fish and
Wildlife
dele heh -
“od Sib) ,
Conservation
0.2 347
2 290
Washington 401 810 NA NA
2015)
Wisconsin 210 2150 NA NA Species of (Wisconsin
conservation Department of
need Natural
Resources
2011)
Oregon 474 630 NA NA Sensitive species (Oregon
Department of
Fish and
Wildlife
2008)
2598 490 179.95 Predators (Wyoming
35
Game, Fish
and Parks
Species of
conservation
concern
State Candidate
Predator/Varmint
Game and
Fish
South 1366 860 99.98 2.06
Dakota
2015)
2147 640 NA NA Apparently (Montana
secure Animal Field
Guide 2015)
Department
1297 750 NA 0.98 Hunting open (North Dakota
year-round; no Game and
daily bag limit Fish
Department
2012)
2013)
North
Washington Academy of Sciences
(South Dakota
Dakota
Linear regression
The equation (below) developed from the linear regression
represents the effect that farm size, farm value, average pasture (value per
acre), jackalope market, and fur prices have on the probability that a state
will classify jackrabbits as a species of conservation concern.
y=0.9320—(—00047fampize) —(.00033famvalue) —(.00049pasture) +(—0037 jackalope) +(—3234fuur)
Negative relationships were identified with farm size, jackalope
price, and fur price whereas cropland farm value and pasture value were
positive. Approximately 79% of the variation in the protection of
jackrabbits was explained by farm size, average cropland land farm value,
pasture value, jackalope commodities, and fur price.
Discussion
This study finds that there is a significant relationship between
farm size and states that protect and do not protect the jackrabbit.
Consistent with Lueck (1995), this research found that states lacking
protections for white-tailed jackrabbits have larger farm sizes on average
than states that protect this species with the assumption that the landowners
control the protection status and thus the likelihood decreases that the
conservation status will be altered towards protection. However, larger
land parcel sizes are easier to contract with others for means of
conservation (Lueck 1995). The average farm size increased three acres
from 2013 to 2014 (USDA 2015), and if average farm size continues to
increase, the likelihood that conservation status will alter towards
protection will decrease. In addition, this study identifies positive
relationships with farm value and prairie value (i.e. as the farm value
increases, so will the chances of the jackrabbit being protected). Farm
values increased in the Northern Plains region (USDA 2014), and if this
trend continues, the likelihood that the conservation status will alter
towards protection will increase.
This study also finds negative relationships between jackalope
prices and fur prices. It was predicted that the market of jackalopes and
furs would be incentives for landowners to have healthy jackrabbit
populations. In addition, a positive relationship was predicted such that
increasing the prices of jackalope and fur will increase the chance that a
Summer 2016
12
state will protect the jackrabbit. Because jackrabbit fur was popular there
would be a chance for profit, especially if the fur was as popular as it was
in the mid-20" century (South Dakota Conservation Digest 1957);
however, recent jackrabbit fur prices and jackalope sales were not
available in lowa, Wisconsin, and Missouri; and there are sales and profits
on jackalopes in states such as Wyoming and South Dakota. Overall, these
results seem sensible because the states that do protect the jackrabbit have
smaller farm sizes, higher farm values, and little fur or jackalope market
to be found. According to this analysis, Utah would be the next state not
to allow hunting of the white-tailed jackrabbit.
This study suggested that states that allow hunting have higher
jackrabbit densities than states that have lower jackrabbit densities do not
allow hunting. From a conservation standpoint, contracting between
landowners with regard to monitoring and managing wildlife and wildlife
habitat is important to aid in the success of conservation of wildlife in an
area; therefore, keeping contracting costs low facilitates additional wildlife
management between landowners. The following paragraphs list
mechanisms to reduce contracting costs for the white-tailed jackrabbit
(under the assumption that owning the wildlife and obtaining profits are
incentives to protect wildlife) (Smith 1981). Lueck (1989) suggested that
private parties or local governments are more likely to regulate wildlife
with smaller territories. With a home range of about 2-3 kilometers for the
white-tailed jackrabbit (Lim 1987), this can be done:
e A landowner can sell access fees to hunt, trap, or photograph the
wildlife/resource of interest (Smith 1981, Lueck 1991, Lueck and
Yoder 1997, Anderson 1998). This idea could be applied to
jackrabbits, and harvest could be limited to months when the
value of furs is higher (Lueck 1995).
e An organization can raise money, and the proceeds can contribute
toward damage to trees or crops, 1f proven that wildlife or in this
case, Jackrabbits damaged the crop (Anderson 1998).
e Use parcels of land where wildlife has the highest value for the
land (Lueck and Yoder 1997), and switch to land that jackrabbits
prefer, such as a short-grass prairie, pasture, mix of cultivated
Washington Academy of Sciences
grain habitat (Beaudoin and Beaudoin 2012). Existing state land
where wildlife has the highest value can do the same.
e Smith (1981) suggested that wildlife can be conserved from areas
such as hunting preserves, animal farms, or game ranches, which
were created to obtain profits from private hunting initiatives.
This idea could be applied to the jackrabbit, because leporids are
a great way for young hunters to learn how to hunt, and people
could pay an entrance fee with the creation and development of a
private hunting or trapping ground (Anderson 1998). In addition,
if the value of wildlife is high and if the landowner owned the
game (Leopold 1933, Smith 1981, Lueck 1991), this can be
applied to help protect jackrabbits against trespassers or predators
because there 1s incentive to protect the jackrabbit as profit. In
addition, other species could be considered for the hunt and
habitat can be maintained (Anderson 1998).
e If contracting between landowners 1s necessary, contract with
others who have homogenous landscaping units or plant similar
crops, and contract with large farm sizes as much as possible to
reduce contracting costs (Lueck and Yoder 1997). Maintaining
habitat or managing populations 1s less costly when landscaping
units are more homogenous. Also, the interaction of white-tailed
jackrabbits and black-tailed jackrabbits (Lepus californicus) must
be examined in states where the two species coexist (Lim 1987).
There are some limitations of the research that must be discussed. First,
there are many factors when it comes to the conservation of wildlife, and
farm size is just one factor; however, for this relationship (farm size,
jackrabbit population size, and protecting the jackrabbit) a linear
regression equation had not been developed for the white-tailed jackrabbit.
A second limitation is that data on white-tailed jackrabbit population
numbers were obtained from various years because of a scarcity of
population data on the white-tailed jackrabbit; however, the data were
collected in comparable ways with point counts. Because there was a lack
of contemporary jackrabbit population numbers, the next most current
population data were sought; however, more current population estimates
are needed so that better correlations can be determined.
Summer 2016
For future analyses one might research the prices that a hunter
would receive for turning in a white-tailed jackrabbit for jackalope mounts.
It would also be interesting to determine if there are significant
relationships in land use between states that protect the jackrabbit and
states that do not protect the jackrabbit. This would indicate whether the
land uses conserve and sustain the more affable jackrabbit population.
LITURATURE
Anderson TL. 1998. Viewing Wildlife through Coase-colored glasses. In PJ Hill, RE.
Meiners (Editors), Who Owns the Environment?, pp. 259-282. (Lanham Maryland:
Rowman and Littlefield Publishers).
Beaudoin AB and Beaudoin Y. 2012. Urban white-tailed jackrabbits (Lepus townsendii)
eat spike plants (Cordyline australis) in winter. Canadian Field-Naturalist 126:
157-159.
Bailey V. 1926. A biological survey of North Dakota. North American Fauna 49: |-
226.
Braun CE and Streeter RG. 1968. Observations on the occurrence of white-tailed
jackrabbits in the alpine zone. Journal of Mammalogy 49: 160-161.
Brown HL. 1940. The distribution of the white-tailed jackrabbit (Lepus townsendi1
campanius Hollister) in Kansas. Transactions of the Kansas Academy of Science
43: 385-389.
Brown HL. 1947. Why has the white-tailed jackrabbit (Lepus townsendi1 campanius
Hollister) become scarce in Kansas? Transactions of the Kansas Academy of
Science 49: 455-456.
Carter FL. 1939. A study of jackrabbit shifts in range in western Kansas. Transactions
of the Kansas Academy of Science 42: 431-435.
Dieter C and Schaible D. 2012. Reproduction and population characteristics of white-
tailed jackrabbits in South Dakota. Great Plains Research 22: 79-86.
Dumke RT. 1973. The White-tailed jackrabbit in Wisconsin. Wisconsin Conservation
Bulletin 38 (5): 16-18.
Fowler J, Cohen L, and Jarvis P. 2004. Practical Statistics for Field Biology. Second
Edition. (San Francisco: John Wiley & Sons).
Fry W. 1924. The Sierra white-tailed jackrabbit. California Fish and Game 10:172-175
Grayson DK. 1977. On the Holocene history of some northern Great Basin lagomorphs.
Journal of Mammalogy 58: 287-291.
Iowa Gap Analysis. 2007. Checklist of lowa Mammals with Atlas Links. Retrieved
from the Internet 10 July 2015:
http://www.gis.iastate.edu/gap/terra/atlas/mammals.htm.
Kietzmann GE and Hugghins EJ. 1986. Helminths of Lagomorphs in South Dakota.
Journal of Wildlife Diseases 22: 276-278.
Kline P.D. 1963. Notes on the biology of the jackrabbit in lowa. The Proceedings of the
lowa Academy of Science 70:196-204.
Washington Academy of Sciences
Leopold A. 1933. Game Management. (Madison: University of Wisconsin Press).
Leopold A. 1945. The Distribution of Wisconsin Hares. Wisconsin Academy of
Sciences, Arts and Letters. 37: 1-14.
Lim BK. 1987. Lepus townsendii. Mammalian Species 288: 1-6.
Lueck D. 1989. The Economic Nature of Wildlife Law. The Journal of Legal Studies
18: 291-324.
Lueck D. 1991. Ownership and the Regulation of Wildlife. Economic Inquiry 31: 249-
260.
Lueck, D. 1995. Property rights and the economic logic of wildlife institutions. Natural
Resources Journal 35: 625-670.
Lueck D and Yoder J. 1997. Federalism and wildlife conservation in the west. In TL
Anderson and PJ Hill (Editors), Environmental Federalism, pp. 89-131. (New
York: Rowman & Littlefield).
Missouri Department of Conservation. 2015. Cottontail Rabbit Control. Retrieved from
the Internet 10 July 2015: http://mdc.mo.gov/your-property/problem-plants-and-
animals/nuisance-native-wildlife/cottontail-rabbit-control .
Montana Natural Heritage Program and Montana Fish, Wildlife, and Parks. 2015.
White-tailed jackrabbit — Lepus townsendii. Montana Field Guide. Retrieved from
the Internet 9 May 2015:
http://fieldguide.mt.gov/species Detail.aspx?elcode=AMAEBO03040.
Montana Animal Field Guide. 2015. Species Status Codes. Retrieved from the Internet
10 July 2015: http://fieldguide.mt.gov/statusCodes.aspx#msre:rank.
North Dakota Game and Fish Department. 2012. Other Species. Retrieved from the
Internet 10 July 2015: http://gfnd.gov/hunting/other-species/other-species.
Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife. 2015. Oregon Department of Fish and
Wildlife Sensitive Species. Retrieved from the Internet 10 July 2015:
http://www.dfw.state.or.us/wildlife/diversity/species/docs/SSL_by_taxon.pdf.
Rogowitz GL and Wolfe ML. 1991. Intraspecific Variation in Life-History Traits of the
White-Tailed Jackrabbit (Lepus townsendi1). Journal of Mammalogy 72: 796-806.
Schleder L and Welch R. 2009. Saddle Butte Wind Park Surveys for special Status
Species: Washington Ground Squirrels and Burrowing Owls. Retrieved from the
Internet 14 Aug 2014:
http://www.oregon.gov/energy/Siting/docs/SBW/ASC/P_att2.pdf.
Smith AT and Johnson CH. 2008. Lepus townsendil. In IUCN 2014, Retrieved from
the Internet 10 Oct 2014: www.iucnredlist.org .
Smith RJ. 1981. Resolving the tragedy of the commons by creating private property
rights in wildlife. Cato Journal 1: 439-468.
South Dakota Conservation Digest. 1957. Rabbit Furbearer King for 1956-57 Season.
South Dakota Conservation Digest 24:6-7.
South Dakota Game, Fish and Parks. 2015. Predator and Varmint Hunting. Retrieved
from the Internet 10 July 2015: http://gfp.sd.gov/hunting/predator-varmint-
furbearer/.
U.S. Department of Agriculture. 2015. Farms and Land in Farms 2014 Summary.
Retrieved from the Internet 14 Mar 2015:
Summer 2016
http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/usda/current/FarmLandIn/FarmLandIn-02-19-
2015.pdf .
U.S. Department of Agriculture. 2014. Land Values 2014 Summary. Retrieved from the
Internet 14 Mar 2015:
http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/Todays_Reports/reports/land08 14.pdf.
Voth DR and James TR. 1965. Parasites of the white-tailed in southeastern North
Dakota. Proceedings of the North Dakota Academy of Science 19: 15-18.
Watkins LC and Nowak RM. 1973. The white-tailed jackrabbit in Missouri. The
Southwestern Naturalist 18: 352-354.
Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife Conservation. 2015. Washington State
Species of Concern Lists. Retrieved from the Internet 10 July 2015:
http://wdfw.wa.gov/conservation/endangered/All/.
Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources. 2011. Current Scientific and Standard
Common Names of Wisconsin Mammals. Retrieved from the Internet 10 July
2015: http://dnr.wi.gov/files/pdf/pubs/ss/ss1089.pdf.
Wisniewski J, Finger RS, Hoenes B. 2010. Odessa Subarea Special Study: Wildlife
Survey Final Report. Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife. Retrieved
from the Internet 13 Aug 2014:
http://www.usbr.gov/pn/programs/eis/odessa/reports/wildlifesurvey.pdf.
Wyoming Game and Fish Department. 2013. Frequently Asked Questions Small Game.
Retrived from the Internet 10 July 2015: https:/Awgfd.wyo.gov/web201 1/wgfd-
1000492.aspx.
Bio
Kelsey Gilcrease is an Instructor of undergraduate Biology and Ecology
courses at South Dakota School of Mines and Technology in Rapid
City. Kelsey completed her MPhil at the University of Queensland in
Brisbane studying koalas (Phascolarctos cinereus). Conservation
of leporids (rabbits and hares) are her main interests with a wide variety of
species including the white-tailed jackrabbit (Lepus townsendii), the desert
cottontail (Sylvilagus audubonii), and the antelope jackrabbit (Lepus
alleni).
Washington Academy of Sciences
Trade as a Premise for Social Complexity
Anamaria Berea
Center for Complexity in Business
University of Maryland
Abstract
The argument of this paper is that trade is an important causal factor for
the origins of social complexity, not just a co-evolutionary process.
Ancient trade played a crucial role in the origins of the first state level
society (Early Uruk) and was a primary premise for social complexity
between 9000 and 3000 BC. Due to the advantages of clay harvesting and
reliable water transportation and due to a series of innovations (e.g.,
pottery wheel and the tokens system), there emerged a series of
institutions, such as money, redistribution, and wage payments during the
first state level polity. These institutions subsequently increased the level
of social complexity and economic development of the Early Uruk society
from a city to the status of the first political economy. A secondary
hypothesis of this paper is concerned with the type of organization of this
first political economy. The argument is that Uruk was more an
entrepreneurial organization that paid wages according to the division of
labor and less a central governance for the redistribution of the public
goods. It was a “political enterprise” with both entrepreneurial and
political attributes.
Introduction
THE PURPOSE OF THIS RESEARCH PAPER is to investigate a seemingly
simple question: What role has trade played in the origins of social
complexity, when history tells us the first polities were formed thousands of
years ago? In order to answer this question this research focuses on the
formation of the first state, Uruk. Uruk was not only the first state level
society (early Uruk — 5500-4000 BC), but also the first empire and the first
international political system (Middle Uruk - 3700 BC) (Cioffi-Revilla,
2001). The archeological evidence that supports this analysis comes
particularly from the transition period between the Ubaid IV and the Early
Uruk. Social complexity is defined as a form of organization for groups and
individuals that behave given a complex set of rules and have developed
some forms of institutions; that have developed rules of behavior,
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organization and interaction that are more than just about survival and
adaptation (Cioffi-Revilla, 2010). In other words, the group has developed
some exogenous rules of living, and is not just an endogenous, informal
collection of individuals. For example, a clan is not a complex society, but
a chiefdom 1s.
Scrutinizing the most primitive polities (or political economies)
known to date is very exciting and one of them is the Fertile Crescent around
8000 BC (Fernandez-Armesto, 2001). The insights from my analysis are
shedding light into some causal processes for the emergence of a complex
society and complex political relationships. The motivation for this research
is to answer the question of what role trade played in the origins of such
social complexity or political systems. Currently, trade has been considered
more or less intertwined with the economic development of the early
societies, but the emphasis has been on trade as a consequential process
associated with the development of civilizations (Fernandez-Armesto,
2001), rather than a causal, pre-determining factor for the formation of
societies and polities. The “co-evolutionary” hypothesis seems implicit
throughout historical and anthropological writings; but what about a causal
hypothesis?
My argument tests two hypotheses: the principal hypothesis states
that trade is a predetermining factor for social complexity (1 will refer to this
as the “causal hypothesis’’); the subsequent hypothesis states that the early
complex social forms of organization resemble the organization of firms or
small polycentric systems of governance (Ostrom, 1997) (I will refer to this
as “the entrepreneurial hypothesis”). If both these hypotheses are true, then
the first polity or political system would prove to be a “transformative
complex adaptive system” (diZerega, 2009), that changed both the
ecosystem and the human organization mainly due to the expansion of trade.
Social complexity, according to Simon’s Hypothesis, is produced by
the social environment and not by human behavior (Simon, 1996). Other
authors have an understanding of social complexity that is closer to the
emergence of civilizations (Fernandez-Armesto, 2001), others with the
emergence of states (Marcus, 1998).
In a restrictive definition political complexity implies a specialized
development of institutions. Administrative specialization and geographic
control require a certain degree of institutional diversity themselves (North,
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1981; 1990; 2005). My paper focuses on the emergence of the first
specialized institutions in the polity of Early Uruk. I will argue that these
institutions are money, labor management, merchant colonies, and
systems of redistribution of imported goods, institutions unknown before
in history.
In a less restrictive understanding Hayek’s theory of spontaneous
order says that the emergence of social complexity comes from the
unintended, non-designed outcomes of individual, purposeful actions
(Hayek, 1945). In one of his seminal papers, “The Use of Knowledge in
Society”, Hayek showed how the price system emerged - not by design - as
the most efficient way of conveying the relevant information in the market.
In the earliest political economy of Uruk the first historical records show
that different types of money circulated simultaneously with barter. Money
was used for complex transactions — cheap money for cheaper transactions
(i.e. barely was reportedly used as a form of currency), while more
expensive money (i.e. c/ay) for more complicated exchanges.
While the transition from spontaneous order to social complexity or
to a fully formed political economy is not very well understood and
represents one of the big questions in the science of collective behavior today
(NAKFI, 2014), several public choice or institutional economists have
published work on the idea that spontaneous order leads to norms,
endogenous institutions and polycentric communities (Hayek, 1964; North,
1981; Ostrom, 1997; Ostrom, 1990; Wagner 2007) In the political economy
framework the “market square” and the “political square” are intertwined
and the political square “lives” more like a symbiont out of the market square
(Wagner, 2007). These “political enterprises” (Wagner, 2007) in the early
political economy of Uruk were primarily formed of what anthropologists
call “the elite” (Algaze, 2001) - the group of people who had a monopoly
over the imported goods and over the temple granaries where these goods
were stored. The monopolistic nature of the political enterprise of Uruk is
exerted through the control over the produced and imported goods and over
the redistribution of these goods; thus, they were controlling trade.
In modern times one of the known important consequences of trade
is the spread of languages, culture, and recorded economic history (e.g., Silk
Road, spice routes) (UNESCO, 2008). And the spread of languages, as
Vincent Ostrom showed, is a defining factor for the emergence of
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polycentric communities (Ostrom, 1997). The process of trade implies not
only the exchange of goods, but also an exchange of information that
implicates learning. Ostrom views language as medium of exchange - a
currency for non-monetized relationships. After repeated trade — and the
evidence shows repeated trade with the people living in the Zargos
Mountains, in Susa, in Egypt and in the Northern Levant — the people of
Uruk might have developed a “common language” as the basis for the newly
formed networks that sometimes became complex enough to form
polycentric communities. Such polycentric communities emerging out of
trade were the merchant colonies from Tepe Gawra, East Iran, and Tell
Habuba Kabira. According to Owen the people from late Ubaid period and
late Uruk did not think of themselves as being part of a single culture or
group, but rather they identified with a single larger town they lived in or
nearby (Owen, 2007). They thought of their world as “‘a patchwork of rival
groups” — polycentric — and not as the “Sumerian” or “Mesopotamian”
society, as we understand it today.
Currently there is a lack of research in the economics literature on
the origins of trade and the origins of political economies. Trade is a
fundamental social phenomenon that can be found anywhere around the
world and any time in the history of human complex systems, but there is a
lack of theoretical and empirical work that would improve its understanding
and emergence in a robust! way. One reason there is still a gap in the research
concerning the origins and emergence and formalization is the difficulty in
obtaining and tracking relevant data.
Vernon Smith argued in his Nobel Prize Lecture that cultures which
have evolved markets have enormously expanded resource specialization
(Smith, 2003). But, as with any fundamental emergent social phenomenon,
entrepreneurship (as it relates to resource specialization) must exhibit robust
evolutionary traits of self-adaptation and growth on the very long term and
at large scales.
My analysis starts with the theoretical background laid down by
some of the most prominent economists mentioned above (and others) on
the theory of trade and markets and on the emergence of institutions within
' “Robustness” refers to the property of complex adaptive systems to persist under
perturbations (Felix & Wagner, 2006)
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“a
a political economy. Then, | pursue a methodological analysis that attempts
to clarify the distinctions between the causal and co-evolutionary processes.
Using this theoretical and methodological framework, | match the existing
historical, archeological, and anthropological findings and thus I construct
my argument for the two hypotheses that I am testing: the principal
hypothesis on trade as a premise for social complexity and the subsequent
hypothesis on the early polity organization into firms (the entrepreneurial
hypothesis).
Methodological background
In order to construct my argument I reviewed the current, most
widely accepted theoretical literature in entrepreneurship (Shane, Kirzenr
and Schumpeter), institutional (Douglas North), and political economy
(Vincent Ostrom), and overlaid the archeological evidence from the Uruk
sites as published by historians and anthropologists (Algaze, Owen,
Schmandt-Basserat, Niessen) in order to understand how the ancient
evidence fits the current theories and how together these can be tied into a
causal argument, as shown in Figure 1.
Trade more
complex
Human nature Tokens Division of
propensity to truck, labor
barter and exchange Pottery Wheel
Mass | Trade ata
Comparative Emergence of production of | greater
advantage of clay Money pottery distance
Merchant | _ Institutions for Entrepreneur | Increased
colonies redistribution and ial polities =| social
control complexity
Temple granaries |
| Institutions for First political
_ labor management economy
Figure 1. The Line of argument for the causal and co-evolutionary processes in the first
political economy
The causal hypothesis
Trade is a process, a human behavior inherent to human action and
social interaction (Mises, 1949). “The propensity to truck, barter and
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exchange” is a propensity inherent to human nature, as stated by the father
of economics in “The Wealth of Nations” (Smith, 1776). Thus there 1s a
humanly intrinsic and aprioristic element in trade that would instantaneously
place it at the “origins” of some processes and human behaviors. But my
argument here is not that trade is an aprioristic human expression of social
relationships and thus, by direct deduction, a premise for social complexity.
My attempt is to emphasize the role of trade as a basic human social
interaction with a degree of universality that would have characterized the
people from tens of thousands of years ago as well as it characterizes the
people of today.
Axtell and Florida (2001) make an important argument about cities
and firms as clusters of social organization that follow a Zipf distribution of
their size. The Zipf distribution follows the mathematical law that the
number of entities or events is inversely proportional to their rank, and it
was observed in the distribution of words on a corpus, the city or firm sizes,
the magnitude of earthquakes, or the occurrence of deadly events (Zipf,
1949). Their empirical and modeling findings show that people and firms
(i.e., human organizations) have a tendency to co-locate geographically. As
historical evidence shows, in the first political economy traders started to
organize and co-locate in merchant colonies.
The Greek word for exchange, “‘catallactics’”’, designates a complex
phenomenon that involves not only the exchange of goods, but also the
exchange of personal relationships. In the political economy framework the
catallactic space is not confined just to the “market square’, but belongs as
well to the co-evolution of the market and political squares where people
interact and exchange goods, services, and relationships that can be
monetized or non-monetized or both (Wagner, 2007). Thus, the catallactical
nature of trade supports the co-evolution hypothesis of trade and social
complexity - the more complex the trade, the more complex the society.
As previously said, the argument for the causal hypothesis comes not
from the nature or the characteristics (attributes) of trade, but from the
emergence of institutions specific for a political economy. There are two sets
of conditions that imply the causality argument: the necessary and the
sufficient. The necessary conditions for complex trade are the comparative
advantages in the Ricardian sense (Ricardo, 1817) offered by the society and
the technological innovations of the society. In the case of Uruk, the physical
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Zo
environment promotes the harvesting of clay to make pottery. This is an
advantage when compared to other incipient civilizations or societies at the
time. The ease of water transportation on the Euphrates is also another
comparative advantage. The innovation in the use of tokens and the pottery
wheel also offer advantages for this incipient society. The sufficient
conditions would therefore be new, emergent institutions such as money,
wages, redistribution, and merchant colonies. None of these conditions or
the equivalent of these institutions was known before this time in history, at
least based on the evidence we have to date (Fernandez-Armesto, 2001).
The entrepreneurial hypothesis
Entrepreneurial alertness is the innate ability of the entrepreneurs to
coordinate their own future expectations and present actions (Kirzner, 1973),
in the context of the market process and their network of competitive
entrepreneurs. The entrepreneurs are able to do this at the micro-level,
internal type of coordination by becoming creators of relevant knowledge
for their actions. The historical evidence from the Uruk period (and
described later in this paper) shows that the traders 1n stone and clay and the
maritime travelers looking for new trade opportunities are such
entrepreneurs.
There is an ongoing theoretical debate about entrepreneurs as causal
(Schumpeter, 1942) or consequential (Kirzner, 1973) actors with respect to
market disequilibria. If knowledge is imperfect and actors are only
optimizing based on that imperfect knowledge, then coordination and
learning can never be achieved. With the discovery of new territories and
new products available in the early Uruk maritime expansion, trade had
become a learning process that led to the formation of the first merchant
colonies known in history to date.
Entrepreneurs are not necessarily single individuals who create and
disseminate or diffuse knowledge at the individual level. Entrepreneurial
action can be a collective action guided towards a single goal. But this
collective action is preceded by a unified decision that led to entrepreneurial
action. The maritime expeditions of Uruk were organized collective actions
to trade clay for stone, wood, or precious stones. The traders of Uruk proved
to be more successful than the traders of the Zargos Mountains due to their
ability to invent and innovate institutions such as money and merchant
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colonies. These would make both information (Hayek, 1945) and
geographical distance (Axtell and Florida, 2001) much more efficient.
The space for simultaneous discovery (consequential actors) and
creation (causal actors) of entrepreneurial action can be achieved in
asymmetric information networks, where one entrepreneur has more
information than another (Venkataraman, 1997). Moreover, one of the
unintended consequences was the transformation (diZerega, 2009) of their
geographical and social space, resulting in building cities, starting
agriculture, and inventing institutions. In this sense, the early people of Uruk
are procedural actors (Simon, 1996) who transformed newly discovered
opportunities into productive returns within the bounded environment
provided by the asymmetric information networks in which they were
embedded (Fortunato & Alter, 2011).
The emergence of entrepreneurship in Early Uruk also depended on
preserving and extending such information networks. Archeological
evidence shows that the “creative destruction” type of entrepreneurship (e.g.
mass-production of pottery is transformative at a very large scale in the
economy) is intimately related to the emergence of recorded information (i.e.
tokens for accounting) (Owen, 2007; Algaze, 2001). In addition, the
evidence” of the first maritime traders and merchant colonies between
Ancient Babylon (6000 BC) and the hunter-gatherers of the Zargos
Mountains shows that adverse selection markets do not unravel (Akerlof,
1970) in the presence of entrepreneurial discovery.
Hidalgo et.al (2007) showed that the product space and economic
growth are interdependent at the level of a country; similarly, the co-
evolution of entrepreneurs and opportunity space in the earliest state level
society can explain why the tokens and the pottery wheel were technological
shocks (Kydland and Prescott, 1982) that boosted this early economy into
economic and urban growth.
Busenitz laid down a framework (Busenitz, 2003) for researching
entrepreneurship as a process emerging out of multiple interactions (both
social and ecological in nature); this is an important methodological
framework because it changes the focus on the organization as the unit of
* Oldest archeological and historical evidence known to date
Washington Academy of Sciences
ps)
analysis and shifts it towards a framework that takes processes and
interactions of multiple stakeholders in a complex environment as the
subject of analysis. This brings into light entrepreneurship as a
transformative complex adaptive system as well.
Entrepreneurial outcomes can therefore be viewed as (at least
partially) depending on the interactions of individuals with each other and
within their social and natural ecology (Smith, 2003); thus, formal and
informal institutions are regarded as sources of opportunity. This interaction
framework is a departure from the mainstream theories of the firm that are
focused on the traits and behaviors of individuals, as well as from network
theories that examine the incidence and location of inter-firm networks
irrespective of where these contacts are oriented (i.e. the exploitation of
opportunity that is bounded by geographic or institutional space).
Equally important in this approach 1s the development of skills
among local producers and traders, in order to identify and exploit those
opportunities (Shane, 2003). Both producers and traders are entrepreneurs
who not only barter, but also exchange relevant knowledge. Their goal 1s to
coordinate their future expectations with their present actions. The
emergence of entrepreneurship can thus be looked for in the behavior of
actors who create and discover information.
Historical Evidence — The Necessary Conditions
As stated in the introduction, the premise for conducting this research
is the attempt to test two hypotheses: trade as a cause for social complexity
and the emergence of a political economy from entrepreneurial processes.
The following historical evidence, although non-exclusive, is sufficient to
construct an argument in favor of these claims.
Clay and water transportation. As Algaze showed, the advantage of
Southern Mesopotamia in terms of geography and lowland for agriculture is
very important for the organization of the early polities in the area (Algaze,
2001). The Ricardian comparative advantage of the people in Mesopotamia,
both the Ubaid and the later Uruk people, has been as a source of clay and
the use of water transportation on the Euphrates. But they lacked stones,
precious materials, wood, and metals, for which they had to trade.
Comparative advantage theory is one of the earliest and widest accepted
theories in economics that proves how economies may create growth and
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prosperity by specializing in one skill or resource and engaging in mutually
beneficial trade with other economies (Ricardo, 1817), and the story of trade
between Uruk and Zargos is evidence of how this played out in the early
creation of polities and societies.
Algaze provides a comprehensive anthropological study of the Early
Uruk (Algaze, 2001). He explains the development of the initial complexity
through the unique ecological and geographical framework of the early
Mesopotamian civilization. Indeed, the abundance of clay and the demand
for stone that was not within the reach of a hunter-gatherer society have led
to the emergence of trade and of the trade routes to more distant geographical
places. Also, the Euphrates was easily navigable and thus, although the early
people of Uruk did not know about the horse, they were able to travel by
water to find places with which to trade. The early trade routes were done
almost exclusively by water on the Euphrates. The Tigris, according to
Owen, is less navigable and much steeper, and thus there was not a network
of canals on the Tigris to the same extent as there was on the Euphrates
(Owen, 2007). These routes could go over 800 miles away.
Tokens. Denise Schmandt-Basserat has published a very elaborate
study on the system of tokens as precursor to cuneiform writing. These
tokens were used for accounting, recording economic data such as labor and
product quantities, and also for communication and writing. This first object
oriented system (Schmandt-Basserat, 1997) played a crucial role for the
emergence of institutions and for the entrepreneurial actions of the political
enterprise of Uruk (see Figure 2).
> & eC . 4
& be aly
oi) ie
de) \e
Figure 2. Examples of early tokens excavated from Uruk (courtesy Oriental Institute,
University of Chicago (left) and Craig Carey, Asst. Prof. of English at University of
Southern Mississippi (right))..
Tokens are not the same as writing. As Niessen showed, writing was
important for the development of civilizations, but it was not a causal factor.
Washington Academy of Sciences
Zi
Rather, just as with the tokens, writing was a consequence of economic
interactions and development and a major phase in the evolution of social
complexity (Niessen, 1988).
He argues in favor of the idea that writing, although one of the most
important inventions for the development of civilizations, does not fully
explain the actual process of development. He deemphasizes the invention
of writing as a turning point, viewing it as simply one more phase in the
evolution of social complexity (a co-evolutionary process in the terms of this
paper) and as the result of specific social, economic, and political factors.
Tokens were such a consequence of specific economic conditions of the
primitive households.
Accounting and labor bookkeeping existed at the origin of the
cuneiform writing, as Schmandt-Basserat suggests, and writing enabled
letters of political propaganda and the organization of long-distance
exchange (Schmandt-Basserat, 1996). A token would incorporate the shape
of the concrete object, the word for the object and the number of the object
to be counted. The token system was a consequence of the need to trade and
do accounting in the primitive early economy and the system and was a
major factor for settling the first merchant colonies thousands of miles away
— tokens were found at Tell Habuba Kabira, where they were very small
(Schmandt-Basserat, 1996).
The early Uruk people had not yet domesticated horses, but invented
this object oriented system for accounting, economic records, and an
organized complex, distant trade, not just a barter economy. This was also
before the invention of abstract counting and mathematics, which came
around 3000BC.
The tokens were also used to count time. The need to count time and
record time was a consequence of the division of labor - people producing
different products recorded their labor time for producing a certain good on
the token designated for the good. This was also the cause of the emergence
of cuneiform writing. Tokens came before cuneiform writing and thus
writing emerged from an object-oriented system used for accounting in the
economy and not from pictographs or art or cultural needs, as initially
thought.
Summer 2016
“The foremost function of tokens was to count goods. Plain tokens
occurred concurrently with farming and served to count such
agricultural products as animals and quantities of cereal. Complex
tokens coincided with industry, keeping track of products for which
Mesopotamia was famous: textiles and garments; luxury goods,
such as perfume, metal, and jewelry; manufactured goods, such as
bread, oil, or trussed ducks. [...] The shift from plain to complex
tokens implies that the evolution of the system was closely tied to
economic change. In turn, the counters can disclose the resources
of past communities. Plain tokens can be clues to the domestication
of plants and animals. [...] Complex tokens can identify the
development of workshops.” (Schmandt-Besserat, 1997)
Complex tokens played an essential role in the collection of the dues
and tributes that sustained the first Mesopotamian city-states. They signal
state formation in southern Mesopotamia. Furthermore, the geographic
distribution of complex tokens in strategic administrative centers outlines
the area controlled by the South Mesopotamian bureaucracy and tells us
about its organization.
The clay tokens were used to represent commodities, and perhaps
even units of time spent in labor, and their number and type became more
complex as civilization advanced. A degree of complexity was reached when
over a hundred different kinds of tokens had to be accounted for, and tokens
were wrapped and fired in clay, with markings to indicate the kind of tokens
inside. These markings soon replaced the tokens themselves, and the clay
envelopes were demonstrably the prototype for clay writing tablets.
Thus, the token system coincided with agriculture, the storage of
goods, and an economy of redistribution.
Fast pottery wheel. Another very important piece of evidence for
trade and social complexity is the invention of the pottery wheel. The fast
pottery wheel was crucial for the division of labor and for the mass
production of pottery that would undoubtedly lead to complex trade.
The society previous to Uruk, the Ubaid people, plentifully used clay
from the Mesopotamian Alluvium and also used the turnette (the slow
wheel) to make pottery. If initially the pottery was decorated, with time it
Washington Academy of Sciences
29
became simpler, shifting its usage from decorative objects to utilitarian
objects of a more common use.
The invention of the fast pottery wheel enabled the mass production
of pottery and the division of labor, two very important conditions for the
emergence of labor management-like institutions. According to Owen
(2007) the fast pottery wheel might have been invented in the late Ubaid
period, but came into wide use during the Uruk period. On the tokens the
picture of a bowl and a head would indicate a ration of food, or what I would
call a wage. Owen (2007) calls the Uruk economy a “managed economy”,
where the temples provided rations or “paid” people for the labor to build
and maintain the buildings and to produce the goods that would afterwards
be traded by the temple.
In Early Uruk ceramics production started to concentrate at large
centers, implying the mass scale specialization that resulted from the fast
pottery wheel.
Historical Evidence — The Sufficiency Conditions
All these lines of evidence might support trade and the development
of complex trade, yet they do not explain trade as a premise for social
complexity. This premise relies on the evidence of institutions. The way
trade is linked back (had a causal feedback) to social complexity is through
the emergence of these complex institutions that would characterize an early
political economy or a complex polity (Cioffi-Revilla, 2001). The evidence
of institutions such as money, merchant colonies, redistribution, and wages
would come to suffice the argument in this respect.
Money. The emergence of money was one of the rapid consequences
of the increased economic development and increased trade between the
cities. Money is the first institution of the market process and the first money
took the form of barley, silver, or gold.
“Materials that clearly functioned as money are, to arrange them in
ascending order of value: barley, lead, copper or bronze, tin, silver,
gold. Of these barley, lead, and copper or bronze functioned as
cheaper monies; tin was mid-range; silver and the much rarer gold
were high-range monies. This is not to say that other physical objects
or substances did not occasionally function as money. cows, sheep,
Summer 2016
asses, slaves, household utensils, and everything under the sun
occasionally had a money function.” (Powell, 1996)
Money was not used for cheap transactions, for that one used the
barter system. And grain was not viable for long distance trade, it was used
only as local, cheap money. The emergence of money enabled the
organization of the complex trade and of the long-distance trade almost
immediately, as a very rapid process.
Trade routes and merchant colonies. Evidence of trade from as far
as India and Anatolia was found even for the earlier Ubaid people. They
brought from India amazonite and from Anatolia obsidian. One of the first
outposts, at Tepe Gawra, would evolve into a presumably merchant colony
during early Uruk. Initially, it had three temples that were facing a central
plaza, and if we accept the hypothesis that the temples were conducting trade
and paying wages in goods, this would be a strong support for the idea that
Tepe Gawra was a first merchant colony.
The early Uruk period faced a more complex economy and more
exchange networks than the Ubaid. They imported goods such as copper,
gold, silver, jewelry stones (carnelian, turquoise, amethyst, lapis, quartz),
stone for architecture, probably wood and other perishable goods (textiles,
oils, spices, foods). The organization of long distance exchange was done by
water transportation on the Euphrates and by centralized storage in each
city’s central ceremonial or public precinct (Owen, 2007). Uruk pottery was
found at Susa (Elam), Zagros Mountains, Egypt, Anatolia. From Egypt they
later imported lapis, while from Anatolia they imported timber, olive oil and
silver, while from Afghanistan (Zagros) they imported lapis and gold. The
evidence of these later imports is from early to middle Uruk, which suggests
that trade had indeed expanded both geographically and in diversity of
goods.
Moreover, the Uruk people started to establish settlements at the
places where they traded most — merchant colonies, and after Tepe Gawra,
they settled at Tell Habuba Kabira in Northern Levant and in the far east of
the Zagros Mountains of Iran. This spans geographically an 800-1000 miles
radius away from the center of Uruk. According to Owen (2007), “the
location of many of these settlements made sense for controlling key points
along trade routes or access to certain natural resources.”
Washington Academy of Sciences
31
Tell Habuba Kabira was approximately 8 hectares in size and
contained perhaps around 5000 people. Archeological evidence suggests
that it was occupied for generations without any fortifications, after which a
6 m thick wall with towers was built. This might suggest that the colony had
increased wealth and was afraid of attacks. The cone wall mosaics at this
center might suggest that the individuals here did have considerable wealth.
Some of the tokens and bullae (the envelopes of tokens) suggest some forms
of primitive contracts that kept track of trade.
Increasing trade had also led to the organization of central urban
storage facilities in Uruk — such as temple granaries- that were under the
control of the “elite” and used for redistributing the goods to the people into
the city. Consequently, they invented institutions for the redistribution of
goods into the city and thus the early state level institutions of redistribution
and control rose in Uruk.
Temple granaries as labor management institutions. By 4500 BC,
with the first city like centers established by the Ubaid people (Ubaid I and
Ill), evidence was found of the first temples or central mounds that had a
different, designated role other than the rectangular houses. These mounds
showed a special architecture and later developed into what we know as
“temples”.
The same spot of these central mounds appeared to be used for
temples for a long period of time, from Ubaid until Ur II (approximately for
2500 years, the same consistency in location!) (Owen, 2007). Some of them
have been re-built even up to 17 times, while each temple was used for an
average of 150-200 years. This consistency in architecture-use has not been
found anywhere else, which signals the vital importance of these temples for
the Mesopotamian people. Now the question is what role these temples had.
There is no doubt that the temples had primarily a religious functionality
(the presence of the altars). My concern here is the economic role they might
have played.
The development and complexity of the architecture and size of the
temples follow the same evolutionary path as the cities — from small and
simple to large and complex. Initially, they were a one-room, modest
structure that with each re-building got bigger and more elaborate. This
could be a signal of more elaborate religious thinking, increased
Summer 2016
32
demographics, but could also be an evidence for increased economic
development and complexity.
There is no doubt among archeologists and historians that the
temples were a “shared institution”. But this shared institution 1s the first one
to emerge in Early Uruk, as opposed to the household level rituals from Catal
Huyuk (Owen, 2007). As a public institution, they gathered people not only
from the large city, but also from the smaller polycentric communities
surrounding that did not have their own temple.
“These temples must have been places where labor and goods were
concentrated.” (Owen, 2007)
One reason is that the architecture itself was labor intensive to
maintain and build and the houses of the wealthiest people were built around
the temples. These people, as I argued above, had monopoly over the traded
goods. The different levels of wealth of the people are a strong indicator for
trade and economic development (no evidence of putative control). The
cemeteries show no difference in the wealth status, which presumably show
that the wealth was not a consequence of religious control.
The evidence shows clearly that the temples were used as storage for
both the goods produced and the goods imported. The consistent increase in
the size and complexity of rooms added show that the amount of storage
increased significantly over time. If the temples had solely a religious
function, then only the altars (“cella”) would have changed with each re-
building and there would not have been added multiple smaller rooms
surrounding it.
The concentrically spatial arrangement around the temple is another
indicator of some existing institutions of labor management and goods
redistribution. Around them, besides the houses of the wealthiest, there were
craft. workshops and farmers around the edges.
Discussion
The archeological findings and the theoretical argument described
above, on the whole, show that the simultaneity of some fundamental
innovations and the complex organization for trade led to the emergence of
the first political economy institutions, and that the first state level society
can be viewed as a transformative complex adaptive system.
Washington Academy of Sciences
6
Trade accrued in the level of organization, geography, and
complexity due to these innovations; and subsequently increased trade led
to the increased complexity of the social and political space of Uruk, as well
as the transition between the Ubaid and Early Uruk. Trade has always been
associated, one way or another, with the economic development of
civilizations, but my argument here is that local trade and the barter economy
of the Ubaid people plus their innovations resulted in the complex trade and
political economy institutions that spurred the growth of Early Uruk, thus
crystalizing the first state level society known in history.
The complex trade here can be also viewed as a form of free
international trade. Archeologists themselves often refer to the goods
brought into the cities as “imported” and it is accurate to do so. There is a
difference between local trade, (exchange performed with money or by
barter) and international trade, which was sometimes associated with
contracts (the tokens at Tepe Gawra). The distinction within the early
polities framework is mainly geographical (the distance) and in the nature
of products (heterogeneous) and less political (state-organized trade with
revenue for a central organization, such as the temple). The nature of this
early type of international trade supports the hypothesis of the
entrepreneurial political enterprises. There 1s a monopolistic advantage
given by the imported goods, but there is also no central state-organized
trade yet, that would treat the imported goods as public goods that bring
revenue for the central government that can expand the administrative
specialization.
More organized institutions implicitly mean increased social
complexity. The archeological evidence of the merchant colonies, the
temples with economic functions, and the emergence of money support the
increased level of economic, social, and political complexity, as defined in
the beginning of the paper.
The evidence discussed in the third part of the paper shows that trade
directly supports the “institutional diversity” of the political complexity and
later the “putative control” (as evidenced by the emergence of walls around
the cities), but less the concept of “administrative specialization” (Cioffi-
Revilla, 2001).
The lack of evidence for fiscal institutions of taxation and for
monetary institutions that issue money shows there is less administrative
Summer 2016
34
specialization at this stage. The evidence of labor management and the
emergence of institutions within the polycentric communities show more
entrepreneurial characteristics at the organizational level of collective
action.
When I first started this research, I was expecting to find a lot of
evidence supporting the co-evolutionary hypothesis and very scarce
evidence for a causal hypothesis for the period in history that is under
scrutiny. The abundance of indirect supporting evidence for the emergence
of institutions was a very nice finding and the construction of the argument
based on this evidence followed theoretical and methodological deductions.
This argument, if accepted, undoubtedly has broader implications for
the origins of trade and the origins of economic institutions. The
entrepreneurial character of the early polities does not remove completely
the nature of central governance, 1t only moves it into the background. There
is a lack of evidence of property rights over the traded goods at this stage,
which means that we must treat them as public goods, whether domestically
produced or imported. But the use of these goods as wages for labor and the
use of tokens as means of accounting, as soon as the division of labor
occurred - instead of an equal redistribution as expected within an egalitarian
society - supports the entrepreneurial hypothesis.
The line of argument laid down here can potentially be extended to
other geographical areas of origins of social complexity (i.e. China, Africa,
Central America) that occurred later than Uruk. If some of the earliest
political economies of these areas experienced complex trade following the
discovery of some innovations and also experienced some forms of early
institutions, then the same type of reasoning from Figure | could be applied.
And this evidence from these areas would extend the strength of the causal
argument.
The purpose of replicating this exercise would be to observe if the
distant merchant colonies and the temples as institutions of the first political
economies would emerge out of the interplay of producing and trading
agents and several exogenous innovations (wheel and tokens in the Uruk
case, there could be others in the other cases).
Washington Academy of Sciences
Summary
The major finding of this research is the emergence of the institutions
of political economy as a consequence of complex trade. These institutions
spurred the first political economy and first state level society of Early Uruk.
My attempt was to cover both the necessary and the sufficient conditions in
support of trade as a premise for social complexity.
A secondary important finding is the organization of collective
action more as a firm (entrepreneurship) than as a central government, which
only subsequently followed. The state-level society was initially a set of
polycentric communities and lacked any type of fiscal or monetary
institutions that are necessary for a central-governance hypothesis. The state
of Uruk was a consequence, not a premise, of the growth and expansion of
the early political economy.
The major implication of this causal argument tends to a theoretical
reframing of the origins of the social complexity. Social complexity should
include trade in its origins, besides the demographics, geography, war, and
other factors. The label of “economic development” 1s insufficient to explain
the economic processes of the very first polities. Moreover, I believe that
trade should not be just one of the premises, but one of the primary ones.
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Bio
Anamaria Berea is a Research Associate at the Center for Complexity in
Business, University of Maryland and a Research Fellow at The Capital
Institute. She has a dual PhD in economics and computational social science
and her research is focused on the emergence of communication in
biological and social networks, by applying theories and methods from
economics and information science to reinterpret historical, anthropological,
biological and artistic evidence regarding fundamental aspects of
communication.
Washington Academy of Sciences
39
Comments from outgoing President, Mina Izadjoo
We have come a long way since the inception of the Academy in 1898 by
a group of scientists in the Washington area from eight scientific societies.
Today, more than a century later with more than 60 affiliated
organizations, the Academy continues to effectively pursue its original
goal which is to stimulate scientific interest and promote science through
collaboration, membership, and publication.
It is clear that the Academy did not take this journey alone. A special
thanks to our members and sponsors from academia, research
organizations and the industry. The Academy is committed to working
together with all of you to catalyze new initiatives and to promote science.
Science 1s a dynamic and empowering tool and it is upon us to promote
science in our community. Today both the world and the Academy are
much different than 100 years ago and together we will make the Academy
to be the voice of science and scientists in the Washington Area. We are
committed to strengthen and establish new working ties with other
scientists and scientific institutions in the community.
It has been a great pleasure and honor to serve as the president of
Washington Academy of Sciences. A special thanks and gratitude to all the
Board Members who selflessly supported the Academy in the past year. |
am humbled that you placed your faith and trust in me. This is a
responsibility that I did not take lightly and I will continue to work with
the Academy for years to come.
Summer 2016
40
Comments from incoming President, Mike Coble
Dear Friends,
I am honored and excited to become the next President of the Washington
Academy of Sciences. I would first like to thank Mina for her excellent
leadership over the past year. She was very instrumental in helping to find
sponsors willing to donate to the Academy.
I would like to continue many of the programs that we enjoyed this past year
including the “Taste of Diversity” lunches with outstanding guest speakers
organized by Peg Kay and the “Hot Topics in...” lectures that focused on
Astronomy this spring and was organized by Sethanne Howard.
I would like to thank all of the members of the board who helped throughout
the year and especially to everyone who helped with the banquet tonight,
including the awards committee chaired by Sethanne this year. I would like
to also recognize Ron Hietala, John Kaufhold, and Terry Longstreth for their
extra help with the ceremonies tonight.
I would finally like to thank Neal Schmeidler for his service to the Academy
over the years. Neal has decided to complete his term on the board this year,
and we appreciate his assistance.
Finally, to the awardees: Congratulations to all of you for your outstanding
achievements! For those of you that are new to the Academy, we hope you
enjoy the many benefits of membership to the Academy and look forward to
seeing you again at future events.
As the new President of the Washington Academy of Sciences I hereby
declare that this meeting has concluded. Good night and drive safely.
Washington Academy of Sciences
4]
2016 Awardees
Ellen Voorhees — award in Piotr Domansky — award in
Computer Science Engineering
Holly Frost — Leo Shubert award William Goldman — award in Math
Summer 2016
Michael Fasolka — award in Engineering
Washington Academy of Sciences
43
NEW BOARD OF MANAGERS
gf
Z ee
Sue Cross, Mina Izadjoo, Terry Longstreth, Terrell Erickson, Mike Coble,
Sethanne Howard, Fr. Frank Haig, John Kaufhold, Ron Hietala, Mike
Cohen
Summer 2016
44
FR. HAIG CUTTING HIS CAKE
Chl
| een |
|
ey |
Fr. Frank Haig, SJ received a special recognition award for his long,
successful, and most appreciated service to the Academy.
Washington Academy of Sciences
45
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Washington Academy of Sciences
47
Washington Academy of Sciences
Affiliated Institutions
National Institute for Standards & Technology (NIST)
Meadowlark Botanical Gardens
The John W. Kluge Center of the Library of Congress
Potomac Overlook Regional Park
Koshland Science Museum
American Registry of Pathology
Living Oceans Foundation
National Rural Electric Cooperative Association (NRECA)
Summer 2016
48
Delegates to the Washington Academy of Sciences
Representing Affiliated Scientific Societies
Acoustical Society of America, Washington Chapter
American Assoc. of Physics Teachers, Chesapeake Section
American Astronomical Society
American Ceramics Society
American Fisheries Society
American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics
American Meteorological Society, Washington, DC Chapter
American Nuclear Society, Washington DC Section
American Phytopathological Society, Potomac Division
American Society for Cybernetics
American Society for Metals, Washington Chapter
American Society of Civil Engineers, National Capital Sec.
American Society of Mechanical Engineers, Washington Sec.
American Society of Microbiology, Washington Branch
American Society of Plant Biologists, Mid-Atlantic
Anthropological Society of Washington
ASM International
Association for Women in Science, DC Metropolitan Chapter
Association for Computing Machinery, DC Area Chapter
Association for Science, Technology, and Innovation
Association of Information Technology Professionals
Biological Society of Washington .
Botanical Society of Washington
Capital Area Food Protection Association
Chemical Society of Washington
District of Columbia Institute of Chemists
District of Columbia Psychological Association
Eastern Sociological Society
Electrochemical Society, National Capital Section
Entomological Society of Washington
Geological Society of Washington
Historical Society of Washington DC
Human Factors and Ergonomics Society, Potomac Chapter
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Northern
Virginia Section
(continued on back cover)
Paul Arveson
Frank R. Haig, S. J.
Sethanne Howard
Vacant
Lee Benaka
David W. Brandt
Vacant
Charles Martin
Vacant
Stuart Umpleby
Vacant
Vacant
Daniel J. Vavrick
Vacant
Mark Holland
Vacant
Toni Marechaux
Jodi Wesemann
Alan Ford
F. Douglas
Witherspoon
Chuck Lowe
Stephen Gardiner
Chris Puttock
Keith Lempel
Elise Ann Brown
Vacant
Tony Jimenez
Ronald W.
Mandersheid
Vacant
Vacant
Jeffrey B. Plescia
Jurate Landwehr
Vacant
Gerald P. Krueger
Murty Polavarapu
Washington Academy of Sciences
Delegates to the Washington Academy of Sciences
Representing Affiliated Scientific Societies
(continued from previous page)
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Washington
Section
Institute of Food Technologies, Washington DC Section
Institute of Industrial Engineers, National Capital Chapter
International Association for Dental Research, American
Section
International Society for the Systems Sciences
International Society of Automation, Baltimore Washington
Section
Instrument Society of America
Marine Technology Society
Maryland Native Plant Society
Mathematical Association of America, Maryland-District of
Columbia-Virginia Section
Medical Society of the District of Columbia
National Capital Area Skeptics
National Capital Astronomers
National Geographic Society
Optical Society of America, National Capital Section
Pest Science Society of America
Philosophical Society of Washington
Society for Experimental Biology and Medicine
Society of American Foresters, National Capital Society
Society of American Military Engineers, Washington DC
Post
Society of Manufacturing Engineers, Washington DC
Chapter
Society of Mining, Metallurgy, and Exploration, Inc.,
Washington DC Section
Soil and Water Conservation Society, National Capital
Chapter
Technology Transfer Society, Washington Area Chapter
Virginia Native Plant Society, Potowmack Chapter
Washington DC Chapter of the Institute for Operations
Research and the Management Sciences (WINFORMS)
Washington Evolutionary Systems Society
Washington History of Science Club
Washington Paint Technology Group
Washington Society of Engineers
Washington Society for the History of Medicine
Washington Statistical Society
World Future Society, National Capital Region Chapter
Richard Hill
Vacant
Neal F. Schmeidler
J. Terrell Hoffeld
Vacant
Vacant
Hank Hegner
Jake Sobin
Vacant
D.S. Joseph
Vacant
Vacant
Jay H. Miller
Vacant
James Cole
Vacant
Eugenie Mielczarek
Vacant
Daina Apple
Vacant
Vacant
. Lee Bray
Terrell Erickson
Richard Leshuk
Vacant
Russell Wooten
Vacant
Albert G. Gluckman
Vacant
Alvin Reiner
Alain Touwaide
Michael P. Cohen
Jim Honig
Washington Academy of Sciences
Room 113
1200 New York Ave. NW
Washington, DC 20005
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